Faced with an avalanche falling on the Republican Party, the rocks of scandal and failure falling on their 12-year Congressional rain like ash on Pompeii, freezing its victims in permanent gestures of graft, we stall.
All we need is another good month. Less. But we digress.
Some are quietly overconfident, perhaps. Others are convinced that Karl Rove's fantastic 72-hour program to get out the rightniks is inevitable. Still others await the inevitable October surprise.
But many of us, are, how shall I put this, resigned. We blogged through this in '04. Not again. We wallow in lefty malaise, an existential vortex.
So Lance Mannion is analyzing every camera angle and lighting trick of the latest walk-and-talk Aaron Sorkin drama; never mind that Sorkin-land is like a vanilla ice cream Hansel and Gretel trap of sweetness and light for lefty addicts, just a brief mirage of studio magic to keep progressives in line till they go into the stew pot. Blue Girl is praising the taste of pears and comparing the yields on her impatiens beds, all the while wringing her Democratic hands in the nation's ultimate swing state:
I don't know. Maybe out of the 5,000 people who visit blue girl every week there are a lot of Independents and Rightwingers I can sway. But you know what? I doubt it. And if all my left leaning buddies who visit here don't vote, well, shame on them. But, I doubt that's true.
I have a feeling that if you are reading political bloggers, you pretty much have your mind made up as to what you believe and who you're going to vote for. That you take an interest in politics and the world around you. You've educated yourself and you know where you stand. And reading the opposition only makes you dig your heels in deeper.
So whatever will be, will be (to quote Doris Day). I should talk, blogging about Swedish detectives, Queens lead-off hitters, and horse-racing ... along with the politics. But Blue Girl has a point too: who am I gonna convince? Tom K.? Tony Alva? Fitz? Hardly. I daresay not a single Republican vote has been turned toward the righteous Democratic column by these postings.
Peter Daou knows what progressive bloggers face, and it's a far, far different challenge than those on the right. When conservative bloggers want an amen, they get an amen.
This, then, is the reality: progressive bloggers and online activists -- positioned on the front lines of a cold civil war -- face a thankless and daunting task: battle the Bush administration and its legions of online and offline apologists, battle the so-called “liberal” media and its tireless weaving of pro-GOP narratives, battle the ineffectual Democratic leadership, and battle the demoralization and frustration that comes with a long, steep uphill struggle.
We may get the occasional amen, but who cares? We're out of power. We're a few votes short. And we're not going to convince many to switch party allegiance.
But there is turnout. Check that. There is only turnout. This Karl Rove understands. GOTV rules. KTOGAH does as well. (Keep the other guy at home, for you political neophytes). So while all the talking heads are starting to talk of a Democratic sweep to Congressional power, many on our side are nervous or just not really convinced. Take Markos:
I'm getting a little nervous with people thinking we have any race this fall in the bag. While things look great for us right now, the election isn't right now. And if Republicans can do anything, it's close the deal. And quite frankly, we're not a sure thing anywhere.
Kos is a political animal. He only knows the W-L line in your stats book. So he supports Jim Webb in Virginia, Bob Casey in Pennsylvania, and more liberal candidates elsewhere. It's all about throwing the corrupt, un-American, torture-loving bums out. So we gotta listen:
So those of you counting those chickens need to stop. All of you celebrating the imminent GOP collapse need to take a deep breath. We've got a long ways to go, and nothing in this cycle is in the bag. Nothing.
So no slacking. No premature celebrating. No heightened expectations.
There's a reason I'm pessimistic about our chances this year. It's because no has voted yet and nothing in this biz is ever guaranteed.
Rally. Post. GOTV.