First, the President has slipped below 50 percent in approval for the first time, according to the CBS polls - 47 approve, 44 disapprove.
Secondly, a theoretical Kerry-Edwards ticket leads a theoretical Bush-Cheney ticket 50-42 - some serious open space between the campaigns. (I continue to believe Cheney will suffer a sudden health setback this summer and a new veep nominee will emerge).
Thirdly, the President's disgraceful and cynical "amendment" proposal banning gay marriage is already dead - some political success! The following Republican Senators have already indicated they won't be voting for it - Lamar Alexander, Ben Nighthorse Campbell, Lincoln Chafee, Norm Coleman, Susan Collins, Mike Crapo, Chuck Hagel, John McCain, Olympia Snowe, Arlen Specter. All believe it's a question for the states, as do I.
Finally, did you see John Kerry on the CNN debate last week? Giving his best performance of the campaign, the Senator showed real life - and he's willing to counterpunch hard. And this weekend, he's attacking Bush where he lives, arguing the President has done a lousy job in the war on terror.
Sure, it's not even spring - but you do hear the stirrings. Could our long national nightmare be over? It's not the beginning of the end, but it may be the end of the beginning.